Poll: Half of Gen Z voters support Harris, one-third back Trump
Still, half of Gen Z voters say they’d vote for Kamala Harris in November, while a third say Trump — a 17-point lead for the Democratic nominee that is larger than in some other polls this year but not nearly as big as 2020, according to the survey of registered voters under 30.
The findings are released in NBC News Stay Tuned Gen Z Poll conducted in partnership with SurveyMonkey, as young voters face new economic and cultural realities of 2024 such as inflation and high unpaid balances that are forcing postponement of some significant life milestones.
Yet another 10% of the participants of the poll answered that they will not vote in the presidential election.
To this end, Harris is enjoying the support of 60% of the young voters who are optimistic that they shall be voting in the presidential election firmly. Such a figure corresponds to the 60 percent of the 18 to 29-year-olds that supported Joe Biden in the 2020 election against Trump, NBC News exit poll indicated.
It is significantly different from some of the numbers Biden got in polls before he withdrew from the race some months ago or new survey, conducted online among 2,617 respondents, suggest some big reasons why. The results of the survey revealed about 73 percent of the Gen Z voters’ support for placing a cap on candidate’s age for them to vie for presidency as opposed to 27 percent.
35% of respondents stated that they support an age limit of president and among them 54% said the age limit should be below 65 years.
Currently, when there is a Harris-Trump contest, gender differences among the Generation Z electorate are rather marked. Specific self-identified traits? Young women said they’re going to vote for Harris for president by 30 points. Young men also said they prefer Harris, albeit by a considerably thinner margin of 4 percent to Trump.
As to the votes’ eagerness, the results are quite similar for both young men and women: the majority of them, over 50%, note they are ‘absolutely certain’ they will vote in November.
Democratic and Republican Gen Z voters played a relatively similar high level of engagement, with 33% and 32%, respectively, saying they will vote for their party’s candidate in November. Tied with Independents the support for the two candidates is 25% each while young voters give their support to both Harris and Trump with almost similar number.
More worryingly, 34 percent of the young independents who do not consider themselves Democrat or Republican said that they will not vote in the presidential election.
In conclusion, a big portion of young voters they interviewed affirmed that they are likely to participate in the presidential election; this is at 88% of the voters interviewed those in the 55% said they are almost sure they will vote.
Harris enjoys a strong base of support among college graduates where sheleads Trump 56% to 30%, twenty six percentage points ahead of him. Also, just 5% of college graduates say they will not vote for president in November. It also does just as proficiently among currently enrolled college students, who favor Harris by a 25 point margin (54% to 29%).
Young voters without college education and are not in school have a support of both candidates at 41%.
Why Gen Z needs politics
51%have voted in a local election and 43% have not voted in any election over the past year, 75% have taken part in other aspects of politics during the last year while a quarter have not taken part in politics at all. Among the ways Gen Z participates in the political process: they are not voting by not following celebrities or political figures that they do not like (37%), not signing a petition (34%); not boycotting a product or a company they do not support (32%); openly stating their political views and sharing articles (31%) or not following friends/family on social media that they do not agree with (29%).
Up to 54% of the Gen Z voters who said that they engaged in the democratic process are voting for Harris, while 33% are voting for Trump.
The poll also included the data showing that only 7 of 10 Gen Z voters believe that the country is ready to elect a female president, of whom 38% believe that the country is ready for this. At the same time, 3 in 10 respondents believe that the country is not ready for a woman president.
, Harris is receiving seven in 10 voters who stated they are definitely ready to elect a woman as president, while receiving a similar share of voters who said they are definitely not ready.
Concerning the candidates’ vice president choices, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz poll well with young voters. Three in 10 voters said Harris’ selection of Walz was “excellent,” while the same proportion said Trump’s selection of Ohio Sen. JD Vance was “poor. ”
In the same survey, while 56% of the Gen Z voters approved Harris’ VP choice positively, only 33% had a positive perception of Trump’s choice. A third of young voters remain undecided and don’t have an opinion about Walz or Vance.
New voters who are eligible to vote support Harris
The non-voters in the election, the voters aged below 30 years who were not eligible to vote in the 2020 presidential election, intend to vote Harris against Trump by 26 points (57 % and 31 % respectively).
Among those who were eligible but did not vote in 2020, it’s a toss-up: Of them, 30% said that they support Harris and 27% Trump, numbers that, according to the poll’s margin of error, are not significantly different from zero. Out of this group 36% says they will not vote in the November.
About 3/4 of the Biden 2020 voters showed their intention of supporting Harris, while 1/4 of them showed an intention of supporting Trump this time. Likewise, 73% of the people who voted for Trump in the year 2020 stated that they would vote for him again but 23% of the people who voted for Trump in the 2020 elections said they would vote for Harris in November.